Club Arnage

Hi,

I've been working on a wiki page to show the weather forecast for the week we'll (well most of us) be in Le Mans.

Now of course we all know the that the weather forecasts are rubbish.  I use accuweather.com to obtain the forecast not because they are more accurate but because the data is easy to collect.

I think it's pretty fair to say if any one organisiation could accurately predict the weather the rest would go out of business.

So where is the wiki page http://www.clubarnage.com/wiki/doku.php?id=weather:weather_forecast (http://www.clubarnage.com/wiki/doku.php?id=weather:weather_forecast)

For your convenience I also added a button to the menu bar.

t.

thanks !!

Can I post that link on Beermountain?
Most useful, it's in one place and updated daily..........what more could a Lemoner want?


 

Doesn't Beermountail have its own weather forecast?

Anything over about 5 days is a joke.  I'm hoping this is true as I'm off on holiday next week and its going to p!$$ down, so it must be wrong

I have no problem with you posting it on Beermountain.

T.

I tend to agree with you Lorry.   The forecast is never the same two days in a row. (Sweeping Generalization but pretty close to the truth).

t.

Nice one, Lawnmower Man. I'm currently listening to the ALMS Series race at Laguna Seca while surfing the net and this will be especially helpful to me as I'm footslogging to Le Mans again.

Well the first update worked after I poked it a bit.   I made a fence post error. 

The Sunday before is looking promising.but I'm sure that will change over time. :)

t.

Moto GP from Le Mans was on TV earlier today.

A nice sunny day 30 degrees. Looks like it is warming up nicely.

The only problem with nice hot sunny weather is it tend to be prone to Thunder Storms and we all seen those a Le Mans.
So pack the wet weather gear.  Of course if the skies remain clear then the nights can get a but chilly so pack a nice warm fleece too.

t.

See Mr Toad has just posted a link today.

Will watch this one with interest as the updates progress.

Fear not Campers, a 30 degree week awaits ;D

Sorry, its horoscopes they do

Hmmm...    Things look to have taken a turn for the worse.  The Monday is looking decidedly below average.
Mind you they do have 14 days in which to change their minds.

t.

What has the weather been up till now.
I hope its not dry and dusty.I do not like it when its dry and dusty.

Is there anywhere to get ice within pedal bike distance of "The Blue Nord"?
Its nice to have a little ice in the "walk-about cooler".

How are everyone's preperations coming?
I shopped Wally World this weekend. New undie's,new socks,new shorts,new luggage !  HOLY sh*t !  ::)

My uncle Ian (Liverpool boys) always said every 5th year was a wet and wild one so working on that logic,this year should have been my 5th year and my 1st year was a scorcher from start to finish,you better pack the welly boots and waterproofs  ::)

Ice is sorted Randy!! :-)

Where that theory falls down is that the weather has not been 'scorchio' for the last 3 years, remember '08.
We are due for a hot and dry week.
Think positive vibes, it hasn't worked the last 3, but it might this time. ;)

Well the positive vibes don't make a lot of difference.  Assuming weather is random and I sure it is then it's like tossing a coin.
When you toss a coin there is a 50% chance it will land heads up.  If you toss the coin and it comes up tails so you toss the coin a second time you still only have a 50% chance of heads.    So lets assume you have tossed 100 times and each time it has come up tails on the 101st toss you still only have a 50% chance of heads.

The average doesn't help much either.  let's face it most of us have more than the average number of arms.

t.

Carefull with the amount of tossing going on there. Big H might get excited  ;)

Yes I thought that myself just after I clicked Post.   ::) ::)

Well Randy, looks like your are all set to go. But, will you show us your new undie's, being a male underwear supermodel and all ::)

If so, tell me, so I can leave my contacts at home, lol

But I like fishy ice!  :(


 ;D

Hmmm....

Looks like the weather man has had a change of underwear and is feeling in a good mood.  He's upped the forecast for the Monday from
"Cloudy, a shower; colder High: 17°C",  to "Partial sunshine High: 25°C"

t.

OK then, specially for you!!!  >:D

Fish ice !
I kept trying to tell them and no one would listen to Randy. ::)
Then later,all the beer smell like FISH ! :o

I WONDER WHY !

ITS FISH ICE !

That is a great to hear.

Someone has obviously upset the weather man today.
Today  is the first forecast for the whole weekend. 
Yesterday the Lowest High Temperature was 18 on the Saturday., But in the lead up the highs were mostly in the higher 20s.
But now the whole week looks decidedly chilly and damp.

t.

Don't worry they will change their minds again tomorrow,  there is no way they can provide an accurate forecast that far out!

I'm not worried at all.  The weather man has problems telling what the weather is now let alone what it will be in ten minutes time. 

t.

Clearly they have no idea, with 3 different sets of graphics over the last 3 days, although it appears to be consistent that the Staurday is likely to be wet.

I'll wait to see what the weather is the day before we leave , and then make up my mind what I intend to pack.....

See you all at the track.

Mark H

P*ssing down, just in case you wanted to know.

The first genuine rain for six weeks or so.  I knew it would be saving it all up for June. ::)

I guess that.  The same the world over.  Well Here anyway..

t,

The weather forecast will read as this.
Sunny,breezy during the day.
Cool,but not too cold at night.
Sunny all weekend,EXCEPT THUSDAY !
[ It always rains on Thursday ]

This waether update is brought to you by: The Weather Whale

It's a dry rain ;)

DO NOT FOLLOW THIS LINK, it must not be true..............http://www.clubarnage.com/wiki/doku.php?id=weather:weather_forecast

Crikey, Tom, I see that the forecast temps for race weekend  have taken a 10 degree hike in 24 hours!  Getting more like it every minute.

Update from the centre of the Universe : Warm and sunny with a pleasant breeze today.

I did wonder about trying to work out what times they revised the forecast during the day.  But these huge jumps or drops make me belive they don't have a clue.

If you want to know what the weather will be like on the 12/13th ask on the 14th I tell you for certain.,

T.

Would it be possible to add Monday's forecast? Will we have to take down the tent in rain or sun?

Probably like many people we will be travelling back to the UK that day.

Thanks

Si

I'm following francemeteo.fr, they should be very accurate.
Up until Sunday it looks great, 27° C and sunny, Monday 20° and sunny, Tuesday 19° and showers, Wednesday and Thursday 20° and possible thunderstorms.

Now there is something you need to know about Computer Programmers particularly one that are as old as I am. :-)

Q.  Would it be possible to add Monday's forecast?
A.  Yes.

Q. Will we have to take down the tent in rain or sun?
A.  No.

My guess is your really after more detail than a simple yes/no answer. 

The whole point of the page is to show what a load of old tosh the weather forecast is.  It's not meant to used for planning anything.
Even in the fine weather you need to have some warm stuff of the evenings and nights.  You really can't chance not taking waterproofs.

So you might like to ask

Q.  Will you make the change.
A.  No.

The long answer is.

With out testing I'm not sure if I can just change the script to go on to Monday.  I'm pretty much out of time for such things given I have a Wedding to attend on Saturday and a motor Race to go to on Monday.   So rather than change it and break it I'll leave it alone at this late stage.  I will however bear it in mind for next year.   But my memory is not what it used to be so please remind me nearer the time.

With regards to the "Will we have to take down the tent in rain or sun?"   Well "No" is the only sensible answer I can give.
I don't have the information to know under what conditions you would leave the tent up.


So to go back to my first comment.  Lets say your driving a car and I'm the passenger,   We come to the end of the road as 'T' junction.  You ask
"Should I go Left or Right"?
There are two possible answers "Yes, go Left or Right" and "No, Turn around and go back".

t.

Why should they be any better than any of the other sources of weather forecasts?  
It just looks like domain parking to me.

T,

You could always look at one of the weather sites, like Accuweather!
http://www.accuweather.com/world-forecast-15day.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&traveler=0&zipcode=EUR;FR;-;LE%20MANS;&metric=1 (http://www.accuweather.com/world-forecast-15day.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&traveler=0&zipcode=EUR;FR;-;LE%20MANS;&metric=1)

But, as we all know, weather forecasts are rarely that accurate, so don't worry till Monday,  stick your head out of the tent and then you will know what the weather is like.  The weather will be what the weather will be!

Totally agree Geoff.

Given the somewhat poor record of weather forecasting.   I think it's best to start from the belief the weather will be exactly what you don't want.
Then when it arrives and it's closer to what you want your happy.   ;) ;) ;) ;)

My personal forecast is :---

There will be weather every day.  8) 8) 8) 8)

t.

At least they had the right forecast back in april with the LMS race @ Paul Ricard ...
Anyway, it's always a lottery all those forecasts.

That fine, I thought it might just be an easy option to add a day. I did not realise all the script had to be changed.

I agree the long range forecast is seldom accurate, however when it gets to about a week away the accuracy improves and it is quite good to see the general outlook they expect.

And yes I can visit the weather sites but the programme done by lawnmowerman is good in that it shows all the history all in one place.

Simon

Le Mans medium range forecast. Looks like wet midweek.

http://www.sorth.dk/LeMans_10d_20100604.gif (http://www.sorth.dk/LeMans_10d_20100604.gif)

 i remember when the radio le mans forcast said the weekend will be rain with intermitant heavy rain.weather on line reads for 25 max storm on saturday night.

Warm and sunny, but cooler with the possibility of rain.

Does it really matter? Take a brolly and sunblock.

2007 was wet
2008 was cold
2009 was cold and wet

Bring on 2010 (todays forecast is wet for the race and I would advise Lawnmower Man to cut the grass as early as possible).

Very hot and sticky yesterday and overnight.  Heavy thunderstorms early this morning.  Grey now but looking more promising and the sun's trying to come out. :)

Heavy hail at Le Mans this morning and over three inches of rain at circuit. I pity (once again) those camping at Beauséjour. The grass is waist high there and they start cutting tomorrow.

Sounds like this should be converted into the mossie forecast thread: conditions like that should ensure a bumper crop (?swarm) within the next 7 days.

Tom - I hope for the final coup de grace you will have a full weather station recording at Blue Nord? And publish actuals on your return?

I watched Country File weather last night. The bit of France it showed covered the LM area, it did not look like a hot sunny week to me. I hope the BBC got it wrong.

Well they did say there would not be a Hurricane on one occasion.  (They got that wrong big time. :-)

Take it from me ther ewil be weather in Le Mans this week!!!!

t.

Forecast for the week ahead in my back garden in Girvan,South Ayrshire..........

Cloudy with sunny spells from thursday on and highs of 18 C  ;D

The tent is out,coverage sorted on the laptop,cheap french beer is in the shed keeping warm and burgers,sausages and french bread in the freezer  ;D

Emergency wet weather kit bag packed, and extra pair of trainers.

Don't want to come back from LM with trench foot.

None of this is going to be needed of course, as it's going to be hot and sunny 8)
(Bugger that's the forecast for next week, it might arrive early though :))

Given the rate the forecast changes it looks like they dont have much of a clue.

hope for the best, prepare for the worst.

Copy that. Today's prediction is Sat sun & 23, and Sun rain & 24. You would think the sun would make the place a little warmer :-\ ???

We all know this game.  Whilst the forecasts seem to be improving, there's still plenty of time for them to get worse.  There's going to be some rain, and there's going to be some sun.  Fog is a distinct possibility, especially early morning, but snow and hurricanes are unlikely.

Will somebody please repeat this every 12 months.

The sunhat is waterproof and I have open toed wellies - as a result of experience

This from Met Check: -

http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/europe_forecast_7days.asp?locationID=1758

Looks mildly encouraging  8)

A max temp of 12 degrees and a wind speed of 26mph is encouraging??   ???

Must go pack my fleece :( :(

Del

Reckon they did that forecast after a very heavy night down the pub.
11 C all day?

Now you mention it that temp does look low.

I had focussed more on the greatly reduced chance of rain.

Oyi, less of the Fart,
I do not see how two forcasts can be so different,

http://www.accuweather.com/world-forecast-15day.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&traveler=0&zipcode=EUR;FR;-;LE%20MANS;&metric=1

And


http://www.metcheck.com/V40/UK/FREE/europe_forecast_7days.asp?locationID=1758

I'm with Accuweather, at least it will be warmer between wet bits.

I can't believe the metcheck weather can be correct????  We'll be lighting fires early this weekend if that's the case... It's going to be chuffing freezing!

Never as cold as Silverstone LMS'07, Vick! ;)

It will be okay. A bit of rain at 24 degrees keeps the dust down, and hopefully sends the Poos into the grid (http://forum3.drinkingforholland.com/images/smilies/icon_thumbsup.gif)

As I am not going and it has started to bucket down here, I am going to put my tent up in the garden so that on Saturday I can sit in it all wet and soggy with a few Stella and Radio Le Mans, will just be like being there.

Way to go Brian, I like the spirit man. Try and sneek a bottle of scotch in with the Stella's.
Think of mee on the bike a big dripping sponge by the time I get to Pompey in the morning, LeHarve says dry LM peeing it down.
We will toast absent friends Man, will miss you for the first beer of the pilgrimage.  :(

Hi Andy, no need to miss the first beer mate Stu is already there and set up, Mike and Norway Nick arrive Thursday afternoon so go and look up the fat Geordie for your first one.
Have a safe trip bud.
Brian

Sunny and warm when I left rehab' in the town an hour ago.  A lot of cloud about but hopefully only showers today according to the radio this morning.

AccuWeather forcasts great (read: NO RAIN~~) for Saturday and Sunday.  Just soggy before and after the race.  I think God loves a good race and is holding off on the rain.   Wish I were there.  Have a good time all.   ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
John

latest weather on line forcast dry for race sunny 25c on sunday shitty thursday friday.off tomorrow

Hmm.  Frogs forecast some showers on Saturday.  Thunder tomorrow.

http://france.meteofrance.com/france/meteo?PREVISIONS_PORTLET.path=previsionsville/721810