It really is difficult to comment on. How can the ACO punish teams that have just done a better job? Forget the diesel versus petrol argument. Its David and Goliath. Its down to budgets. The only way to make things equal is to hand Lola, Pescarolo, Aston Martin £20,000,000 each. As much as i adore Henri i can't give time to his constant moaning about 'zer deesels'. Money talks at Le Mans and the factory teams just have much more.
Cast your minds back a few years to when the Pesca's were 4-5 per lap quicker than the Audis. Did Pescarolo win? You could give any of the current petrol teams a five second per lap advantage but i'd still put my shirt on a diesel winning.
Steve. As for Astons comedy engine; i don't think vibration will be so much an issue. Remember those lovely Gulf GR8s back in the 70's? They had a flat plane DFV which as an engine for a two hour Grand Prix was the engine to have. It was surprisingly reliable considering it had to do 10 grand prix over the weekend, but the big issue is that the huge vibrations they generated broke just about every other componant on the car (including the chassis!).
Aston's main blunder is trying to get 550bhp out of just two litres. Fine on a sprint engine but 24 hours? An engine at Le Mans will typically run 80% race distance at full throttle. A high revving 6 cylinder engine will have huge piston forces acting upon it. Each of those 6 pistons will change direction 150 times a second, hit 50mph mid bore before stopping and reversing. That equates to over 4000g at the TDC as it does so. Now add to that the strain of the high boost pressures that will be required to get that 550bhp and you have one seriously stressed engine. No chance it will last the distance. It would have mademuch more sense to go for the larger capacity, more cylinders and atmospheric induction under the current rules.
It looks like the cars aero has been designed around this long narrow engine. The engine is a dud. No chance to start again and fit a different type of engine so they are buggered basicaly. Its a real shame as Prodrive are a class act. But a relative lack of experience at building sportscar has led them to make a fundamental flaw from the very start.
So as for performance balancing.... Give the Aston a 250 lap head start. My guess is it would still not trouble the podium. Not this year, not ever.